PURPOSE OF REVIEW:
The
majority of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections in the United Kingdom and many
developing countries were acquired through injecting. New clinical guidance
suggests that HCV treatment should be offered to people with a transmission
risk - such as people who inject drugs (PWID) - irrespective of severity of
liver disease. We consider the strength of the evidence base and potential
problems in evaluating HCV treatment as prevention among PWID.
RECENT FINDINGS:
There
is good theoretical evidence from dynamic models that HCV treatment for PWID
could reduce HCV chronic prevalence and incidence among PWID. Economic
evaluations from high-income settings have suggested HCV treatment for PWID is
cost-effective, and that in many settings HCV treatment of PWID could be more
cost-effective than treating those at an equivalent stage with no ongoing
transmission risk. Epidemiological studies of older interferon treatments have
suggested that PWID can achieve similar treatment outcomes to other patient
groups treated for chronic HCV. Impact and cost-effectiveness of HCV treatment
is driven by the potential 'prevention benefit' of treating PWID. Model
projections suggest that more future infections, end stage liver disease, and
HCV-related deaths will be averted than lost through reinfection of PWID
treated successfully for HCV. However, there is to date no empirical evidence
from trials or observational studies that test the model projections and
'prevention benefit' hypothesis. In part this is because of uncertainty in the
evidence base but also there is unlikely to have been a change in HCV
prevalence due to HCV treatment because PWID HCV treatment rates historically
in most sites have been low, and any scale-up and switch to the new direct
acting antiviral has not yet occurred. There are a number of key uncertainties
in the data available on PWID that need to be improved and addressed to
evaluate treatment as prevention. These include estimates of the prevalence of
PWID, measurements of HCV chronic prevalence and incidence among PWID, and how
to interpret reinfection rates as potential outcome measures.
SUMMARY:
Eliminating
HCV through scaling up treatment is a theoretical possibility. But empirical
data are required to demonstrate that HCV treatment can reduce HCV transmission,
which will require an improved evidence base and analytic framework for
measuring PWID and HCV prevalence.
1aSchool of Social and Community Medicine, University
of Bristol bMRC Biostatistics Unit, University of Cambridge and Public Health
England cGlasgow Caledonian University and Health Protection Scotland, UK
dDivision of Global Public Health, University of California San Diego,
California,
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