Wednesday, January 27, 2016

The Adult Prevalence of HIV In Zambia: Results from a Population Based Mobile Testing Survey Conducted in 2013-2014

OBJECTIVE:
To estimate the adult prevalence of HIV among the adult population in Zambia and determine whether demographic characteristics were associated with being HIV positive.

METHODS:
A cross sectional population based survey to asses HIV status among participants aged 15 years and above in a national tuberculosis prevalence survey. Counselling was offered to participants who tested for HIV. The prevalence was estimated using a logistic regression model. Univariate and multivariate associations of social demographic characteristics with HIV were determined.

RESULTS:
Of the 46,099 individuals who were eligible to participate in the survey, 44,761 (97.1 %) underwent pre-test counselling for HIV; out of which 30,605 (68.4 %) consented to be tested and 30, 584 (99.9 %) were tested. HIV prevalence was estimated to be 6.6 %; with females having a higher prevalence than males 7.7 % versus 5.2 %. HIV prevalence was higher among urban than rural residents. The risk of HIV was double among urban dwellers than among their rural counterparts. Being divorced or widowed was associated with a threefold higher risk of being HIV positive than being never married. The risk of being HIV positive was four times higher among those with tuberculosis than those without tuberculosis.

CONCLUSIONS:
HIV prevalence was lower than previously estimated in the country. The burden of HIV showed sociodemographic disparities signifying a need to target key populations or epidemic drivers. Mobile testing for HIV on a national scale in the context of TB prevalence surveys could be explored further in other settings.

Below:  Estimated HIV prevalence by age and sex with uncertainty bounds



Below:  Estimated HIV prevalence by wealth quintile for urban and rural areas with uncertainty bounds



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  • 1Department of Disease Surveillance, Control and Research, Ministry of Health, Lusaka, Zambia ; Center of Tropical Medicine and Travel Medicine, Department of Infectious Diseases, Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
  • 2Center of Tropical Medicine and Travel Medicine, Department of Infectious Diseases, Academic Medical Centre, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands ; Department of Epidemiology and Disease Control, Ministry of Community Development, Mother and Child Health, Lusaka, Zambia.
  • 3KNCV Tuberculosis Foundation, The Hague, Netherlands ; Department of Global Health, Academic Medical Center, Amsterdam Institute for Global Health and Development, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.
  • 4Department of Disease Surveillance, Control and Research, Ministry of Health, Lusaka, Zambia.
  • 5World Health Organisation, Lusaka, Zambia.
  • 6Virology Laboratory, University Teaching Hospital, Lusaka, Zambia.
  • 7Department of Economics, University of Zambia, Lusaka, Zambia. 
  •  2016 Jan 19;13:4. doi: 10.1186/s12981-015-0088-1. eCollection 2016.




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